28/03/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
29%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
41%
46%
Under 2.5
43%
54%
Over 2.5
57%
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
43%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holyhead Hotspur FC v Newtown — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Holyhead Hotspur FC
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Newtown
EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
1.43/0.91
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.31/1.33
-13%
/
+67%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-22%
/
+20%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
347 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Holyhead Hotspur FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Newtown
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Holyhead Hotspur FC beat Newtown 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Holyhead Hotspur FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Newtown?
Holyhead Hotspur FC 2-0 Newtown in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Newtown?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holyhead Hotspur FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 37%, draw 29%, Newtown 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
28 Mar 2026