Penrhyncoch 0-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
15%
4.08
Away
63%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
20%
+2.4pp
16%
Draw
22%
-6.1pp
63%
Away Win
59%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
2.12/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.30
+66% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Holywell
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
11.10.2025 Holywell Holywell 4-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
30.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
14.09.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
18.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-5 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
01.10.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
23.04.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-3 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell nicked a narrow win over Penrhyncoch 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.83 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Holywell?

Penrhyncoch 0-1 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 22%, draw 16%, Holywell 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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