Holywell 4-1 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
77%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.5pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.91/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.59
-1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
30.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
14.09.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
18.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-5 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
01.10.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
23.04.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-3 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
20.11.2021 Holywell Holywell 5-0 HT 3-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell ran out comfortable winners over Penrhyncoch 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Holywell and 0.33 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Penrhyncoch?

Holywell 4-1 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Holywell 72%, draw 18%, Penrhyncoch 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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