Guilsfield 2-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
47%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
Over 2.5
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
29%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.1pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.3pp
47%
Away Win
28%
+18.4pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.7pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.62/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.99
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
18.01.2025 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Guilsfield GALFAW
02.11.2024 Guilsfield 4-3 HT 2-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
23.03.2024 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 2-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
24.02.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield edged past Denbigh Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guilsfield had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Guilsfield and 2.25 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Guilsfield 2-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 36%, draw 17%, Denbigh Town 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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