Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-3 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2025

Holyhead Hotspur FC
1-3 HT 1-3
Ruthin Town
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Ruthin Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+4.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holyhead Hotspur FC v Ruthin Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.63/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.80
-15% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Ruthin Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ruthin Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
17.12.2022 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
05.11.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town saw off Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holyhead Hotspur FC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ruthin Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Holyhead Hotspur FC and 2.00 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Ruthin Town?

Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-3 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holyhead Hotspur FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 55%, draw 20%, Ruthin Town 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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