Treowen Stars 2-3 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.76
No
31%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-7.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+7.1pp
69%
BTTS Yes
53%
+15.9pp
31%
BTTS No
47%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 64%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-64% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
224 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town edged past Treowen Stars 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aberystwyth Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?

Treowen Stars 2-3 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 19%, draw 25%, Aberystwyth Town 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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