Denbigh Town 3-2 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.32
No
31%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.1pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.35/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.54
+28% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
02.11.2024 Guilsfield 4-3 HT 2-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
23.03.2024 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 2-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
24.02.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town squeezed past Guilsfield 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Denbigh Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Denbigh Town and 3.33 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield?

Denbigh Town 3-2 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 42%, draw 21%, Guilsfield 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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