Caersws 2-0 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 62%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
4.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/1.09
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Holywell
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.08.2024 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 2-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
20.07.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALLK
03.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.09.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
06.08.2022 Caersws Caersws 1-6 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALLK
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws saw off Holywell 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Holywell at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Caersws and 3.00 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Holywell?

Caersws 2-0 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Caersws 24%, draw 28%, Holywell 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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