Holywell 3-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.4pp
27%
Draw
17%
+9.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.94/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.83
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Caersws
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
20.07.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALLK
03.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.09.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
06.08.2022 Caersws Caersws 1-6 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALLK
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell got the better of Caersws 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Holywell and 0.75 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Caersws?

Holywell 3-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Holywell 53%, draw 27%, Caersws 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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