Pocheon 4-1 Dangjin Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dangjin Citizen EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -16%
1.32/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.62
-19% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
473 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dangjin Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.06.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 1-0 Dangjin Citizen GK3L
05.03.2022 Dangjin Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon cruised past Dangjin Citizen 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pocheon as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pocheon and 1.00 for Dangjin Citizen.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen?

Pocheon 4-1 Dangjin Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 63%, draw 22%, Dangjin Citizen 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pocheon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pocheon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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