Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.31
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.07.2025 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
16.03.2025 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.11.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 2-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.06.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.08.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP and Daejeon Korail couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.17 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?

Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 49%, draw 24%, Daejeon Korail 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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