Daejeon Korail 2-0 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.07/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.18
-6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
02.11.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 2-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.06.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.08.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.07.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-2 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.04.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail saw off Gyeongju HNP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Daejeon Korail made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.17 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP?

Daejeon Korail 2-0 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 31%, draw 29%, Gyeongju HNP 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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