Daejeon Korail 2-1 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 51%
+26% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.20
+46% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22.06.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.08.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.07.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-2 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.04.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
20.08.2021 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-3 HT 1-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail nicked a narrow win over Gyeongju HNP 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.50 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP?

Daejeon Korail 2-1 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 33%, draw 24%, Gyeongju HNP 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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