Pocheon 2-1 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 31%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
0.77/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.15
-42% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
232 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1 Corners 4
22.06.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-2 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
05.11.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 2-3 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
11.06.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
03.07.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Citizen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Pocheon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pocheon and 1.50 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen?

Pocheon 2-1 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 36%, draw 28%, Ulsan Citizen 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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