Changwon City 2-2 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 53%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
0.85/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.79
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.06.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 4-5 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
03.11.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
10.06.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
17.07.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-0 HT 2-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
17.06.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
02.04.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City and Hwaseong shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hwaseong at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hwaseong led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changwon City and 1.67 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Hwaseong?

Changwon City 2-2 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 19%, draw 31%, Hwaseong 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hwaseong), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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