Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.81
No
37%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
51%
+11.7pp
37%
BTTS No
49%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.25/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.21
-7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.03.2025 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.11.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 2-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.06.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.08.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.07.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-2 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP edged past Daejeon Korail 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Gyeongju HNP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.00 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?

Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 35%, draw 30%, Daejeon Korail 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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