Siheung Citizen 2-0 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.1pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.01
-19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.03.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
14.09.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
18.05.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-2 HT 2-2 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
22.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
27.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.10.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen beat Changwon City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.00 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?

Siheung Citizen 2-0 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 42%, draw 32%, Changwon City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5
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