Changwon City 1-2 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 15 Mar 2025

Changwon City
1-2 HT 0-0
Siheung Citizen
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2025

Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changwon City v Siheung Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.96/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.27
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
18.05.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-2 HT 2-2 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
22.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
27.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.10.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
03.09.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen edged past Changwon City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Siheung Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Changwon City and 1.00 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?

Changwon City 1-2 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 34%, draw 27%, Siheung Citizen 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
15 Mar 2025
08:00 Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen Analysis →
08:00 Ulsan Citizen vs Gimhae City Analysis →
08:00 Pocheon vs Chuncheon Citizen Analysis →