Yangpyeong 3-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.06
No
45%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.0pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -1%
0.97/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.01
-22% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
15.09.2024 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 0-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.05.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
23.09.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
28.05.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 4-2 HT 2-1 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yangpyeong got the better of Paju Citizen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Yangpyeong made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yangpyeong and 1.75 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen?

Yangpyeong 3-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 32%, draw 32%, Paju Citizen 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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