Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-11.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.98/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.83
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -56%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
220 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimhae City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
9 Corners 6
21.09.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
24.05.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
09.09.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
13.05.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
04.09.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.05.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-4 HT 1-3 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.50 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 25%, draw 27%, Gimhae City 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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