Kwara United vs Nasarawa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kwara United v Nasarawa United — Team-Based Signals
Kwara United vs Nasarawa United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Kwara United
NIJ
2-1
HT 0-0
Kwara United
NIJ
2-0
HT 0-0
Nasarawa United
NIJ
Kwara United 1-0 Nasarawa United — Actual Match Statistics
Kwara United nicked a narrow win over Nasarawa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.
On the day, Kwara United had 64% of the ball to Nasarawa United's 36%, shots finished 14-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kwara United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kwara United and 0.67 for Nasarawa United.
What was the final score of Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
Kwara United 1-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 55%, draw 28%, Nasarawa United 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.