Bendel Insurance 2-2 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.45
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
33%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
65%
+1.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.1pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.41/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.54
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Plateau United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
10.11.2025 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
27.04.2025 Plateau United Plateau United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
30.11.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 2-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance and Plateau United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bendel Insurance at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plateau United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bendel Insurance and 1.33 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United?

Bendel Insurance 2-2 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 67%, draw 19%, Plateau United 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
28 Mar 2026
18:00 Kwara United vs Nasarawa United Analysis →