Bendel Insurance 2-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+16.0pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.51/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-7% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bendel Insurance
2-1
AWAY Plateau United
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance edged past Plateau United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bendel Insurance had 53% of the ball to Plateau United's 47%, shots finished 22-7.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United?

Bendel Insurance 2-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 56%, draw 27%, Plateau United 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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