Lobi Stars 1-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.30/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.38
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kwara United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 4-3 HT 2-2 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
03.02.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 2-1 HT 0-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
1-0
AWAY Kwara United
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars nicked a narrow win over Kwara United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 50% of the ball to Kwara United's 50%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lobi Stars and 2.50 for Kwara United.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Kwara United?

Lobi Stars 1-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 54%, draw 25%, Kwara United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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