Moknine 1-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
52%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.29
No
47%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
52%
Away Win
57%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.6pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moknine EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 61%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.45
+150% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +71%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
174 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moknine
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 3-0 HT 1-0 Moknine TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moknine
1-1
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Moknine vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moknine and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moknine had 41% of the ball to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's 59%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Moknine vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Moknine 1-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moknine vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Moknine 21%, draw 27%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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