Sporting Ben Arous 0-1 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.70/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.34
-42% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Msaken
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2025 Msaken Msaken 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous TUN2
11.02.2024 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 1-1 HT 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
08.01.2023 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 2-1 HT 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
0-1
AWAY Msaken
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
22 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Ben Arous vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken nicked a narrow win over Sporting Ben Arous 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Ben Arous at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Ben Arous had 69% of the ball to Msaken's 31%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Ben Arous had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Ben Arous and 1.00 for Msaken.

What was the final score of Sporting Ben Arous vs Msaken?

Sporting Ben Arous 0-1 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Ben Arous vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Ben Arous win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Ben Arous 42%, draw 32%, Msaken 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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