New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Colorado Springs — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Colorado Springs
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Colorado Springs
USLP
New Mexico United 3-2 Colorado Springs — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past Colorado Springs 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New Mexico United had 51% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 49%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.25 to 2.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Mexico United and 0.83 for Colorado Springs.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?
New Mexico United 3-2 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 44%, draw 27%, Colorado Springs 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.