Worthing 2-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.36/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+68% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 5-1 HT 3-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.09.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.12.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-1
AWAY Maidstone United
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Maidstone United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Worthing found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Worthing had 53% of the ball to Maidstone United's 47%, shots finished 8-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Worthing and 2.33 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Maidstone United?

Worthing 2-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Worthing 39%, draw 25%, Maidstone United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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