Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.44/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.41
-6% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Chorley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
05.08.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
11.02.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
03.09.2022 Chorley Chorley 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
22.01.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
14.08.2021 Chorley Chorley 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
1-0
AWAY Chorley
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town squeezed past Chorley 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Brackley Town had 45% of the ball to Chorley's 55%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brackley Town and 0.33 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Chorley?

Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 42%, draw 29%, Chorley 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İCON More England - Conference
28 Apr 2024
17:00 Worthing vs Maidstone United Analysis →