Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.3 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.32/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.47
-8% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Chorley
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
11.02.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
03.09.2022 Chorley Chorley 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
22.01.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
14.08.2021 Chorley Chorley 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
06.02.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
1-0
AWAY Chorley
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Chorley 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brackley Town had 47% of the ball to Chorley's 53%, shots finished 13-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brackley Town and 0.50 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Chorley?

Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 42%, draw 27%, Chorley 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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