Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +33%
1.09/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.96
-25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
07.04.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-2 HT 1-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
27.09.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough and Chelmsford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Farnborough had 37% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 63%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Farnborough and 1.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 38%, draw 30%, Chelmsford City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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