Curzon Ashton 1-3 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.58/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.11
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-3 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.04.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.12.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-2 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
15.04.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
30.08.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
31.10.2020 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-3
AWAY Darlington 1883
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 got the better of Curzon Ashton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Darlington 1883 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 54% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 46%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.17 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Darlington 1883?

Curzon Ashton 1-3 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 39%, draw 26%, Darlington 1883 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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