Boston United 2-3 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Feb 2024

Boston United
2-3 HT 0-1
Buxton
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Boston United vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boston United v Buxton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.98/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
+18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Boston United vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
10.04.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
13.09.2022 Boston United Boston United 3-0 HT 2-0 Buxton Buxton İCON

Boston United 2-3 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
2-3
AWAY Buxton
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton squeezed past Boston United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Boston United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston United had 59% of the ball to Buxton's 41%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boston United and 0.67 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Buxton?

Boston United 2-3 Buxton in the England - Conference on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boston United 42%, draw 33%, Buxton 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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