Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

Nottingham Forest
0-2 HT 0-1
Manchester City
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
64%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
16.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
6%
20.95
X/2
15%
3.41
X/X
9%
8.31
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
41%
1.47
2/X
4%
24.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.0pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.4pp
64%
Away Win
73%
-9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 78%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.07/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.81
-13% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 85%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.8
12.1 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Manchester City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 2.35
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
237 Passes 608
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
18.02.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
31.08.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 6-0 HT 3-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
03.01.2009 Manchester City Manchester City 0-3 HT 0-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest FAK
30.03.2002 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
28.10.2001 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNCL

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0-2
AWAY Manchester City
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 665
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City got the better of Nottingham Forest 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 33% of the ball to Manchester City's 67%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.17 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 18%, draw 18%, Manchester City 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
28 Apr 2024
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