Assyriska 3-2 Taby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Taby EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.99/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/1.51
-30% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Taby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
11.09.2021 Taby Taby 1-1 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
05.04.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 2-7 HT 1-4 Taby Taby İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
3-2
AWAY Taby
50% Ball Possession 50%
24 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Taby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assyriska nicked a narrow win over Taby 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Taby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Assyriska had 50% of the ball to Taby's 50%, shots finished 24-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Taby led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Assyriska and 4.00 for Taby.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Taby?

Assyriska 3-2 Taby in the Sweden - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Taby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Taby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 31%, draw 27%, Taby 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Taby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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