Stockholm Internazionale 1-2 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockholm Internazionale EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.92/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.98
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockholm Internazionale
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2023 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
30.07.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 4-3 HT 2-2 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale İSÇ3
25.09.2022 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
01.05.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockholm Internazionale
1-2
AWAY Umea FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Stockholm Internazionale vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past Stockholm Internazionale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stockholm Internazionale at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Stockholm Internazionale had 61% of the ball to Umea FC's 39%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stockholm Internazionale had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 1.50 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Stockholm Internazionale vs Umea FC?

Stockholm Internazionale 1-2 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockholm Internazionale vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockholm Internazionale win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stockholm Internazionale 55%, draw 20%, Umea FC 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stockholm Internazionale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockholm Internazionale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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