Unterhaching 2-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.09
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
16%
4.65
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.35
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
1.39/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.68
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
14.4 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
1W-0D-5L
AWAY 1860 München
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.63 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
266 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
26.02.2021 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
26.10.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
27.06.2020 1860 München 1860 München 3-0 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
01.12.2019 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-3 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
12.03.2019 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
2-0
AWAY 1860 München
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching got the better of 1860 München 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Unterhaching made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 43% of the ball to 1860 München's 57%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Unterhaching and 2.00 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs 1860 München?

Unterhaching 2-0 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 35%, draw 27%, 1860 München 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (1860 München) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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