Mainz 05 U19 2-1 Karlsruher SC U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

Mainz 05 U19
2-1 HT 1-0
Karlsruher SC U19
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Germany - U19 Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.3pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mainz 05 U19 v Karlsruher SC U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karlsruher SC U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Karlsruher SC U19 Karlsruher SC U19 5-3 HT 3-2 Mainz 05 U19 Mainz 05 U19 ALU19

Mainz 05 U19 2-1 Karlsruher SC U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 U19
2-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC U19
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 U19 squeezed past Karlsruher SC U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Karlsruher SC U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Mainz 05 U19 had 36% of the ball to Karlsruher SC U19's 64%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19?

Mainz 05 U19 2-1 Karlsruher SC U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 U19 31%, draw 26%, Karlsruher SC U19 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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