Argentinos Juniors 0-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.25
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.24
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
14%
3.27
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.24
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.36/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.14
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.1 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
320 Passes 261
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
11.11.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
13.06.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
23.10.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
22.03.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
24.11.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
0-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
73% Ball Possession 27%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
435 Passes 105
82% Pass Accuracy 56%
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 73% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 27%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.50 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?

Argentinos Juniors 0-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 38%, draw 29%, Velez Sarsfield 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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