Manama 2-1 Busaiteen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

Manama
2-1 HT 0-0
Busaiteen
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manama vs Busaiteen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
6%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 32% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manama v Busaiteen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.22
+34% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Manama vs Busaiteen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Busaiteen
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-3 HT 0-2 Manama Manama BAH
04.11.2022 Manama Manama 4-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHK
13.03.2021 Manama Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
09.12.2020 Busaiteen Busaiteen 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
09.09.2020 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH

Manama 2-1 Busaiteen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manama
2-1
AWAY Busaiteen
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Manama vs Busaiteen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manama squeezed past Busaiteen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Manama found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manama had 53% of the ball to Busaiteen's 47%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Manama and 0.20 for Busaiteen.

What was the final score of Manama vs Busaiteen?

Manama 2-1 Busaiteen in the Bahrain - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Busaiteen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Manama 38%, draw 29%, Busaiteen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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