America Mineiro 2-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.37/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.16
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.1 Crosses 18.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-0
AWAY Novorizontino
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
660 Passes 191
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro got the better of Novorizontino 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, America Mineiro had 73% of the ball to Novorizontino's 27%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Novorizontino?

America Mineiro 2-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 42%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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