Avarta 2-0 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.66/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.44
-48% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 6-2 HT 3-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
10.09.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
2-0
AWAY VSK Arhus
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Avarta vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avarta got the better of VSK Arhus 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was VSK Arhus at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avarta had 40% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 60%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avarta and 3.00 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Avarta vs VSK Arhus?

Avarta 2-0 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avarta 31%, draw 24%, VSK Arhus 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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