01/04/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
VSK Arhus vs Avarta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
26%
Draw
26%
27%
Away Win
24%
57%
Under 2.5
52%
43%
Over 2.5
48%
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
54%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VSK Arhus v Avarta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
VSK Arhus
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Avarta
EU Bookmakers 27%
+17% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+25% /
+25%
2.07/0.90
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.30/1.17
+29%
/
+36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+10%
/
+39%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
378 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
236 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
–
VSK Arhus vs Avarta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
VSK Arhus
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Avarta
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
10.09.2023
Avarta
1-0
HT 1-0
VSK Arhus
DAN3
1-0
HT 1-0
VSK Arhus
DAN3
POST-MATCH
VSK Arhus vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VSK Arhus swept aside Avarta 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Avarta?
VSK Arhus 6-2 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Avarta?
Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 47%, draw 26%, Avarta 27%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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DAN3
More Denmark - 3rd Division
1 Apr 2024