VSK Arhus 6-2 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 27%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.07/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.17
+29% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Avarta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus swept aside Avarta 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Avarta?

VSK Arhus 6-2 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 47%, draw 26%, Avarta 27%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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