Holstebro BK 0-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 43%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Holbaek
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 2-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
09.05.2021 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-3 HT 1-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
31.10.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek edged past Holstebro BK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holbaek led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Holstebro BK and 3.00 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Holbaek?

Holstebro BK 0-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 29%, draw 30%, Holbaek 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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