Naesby 1-1 SfB-Oure — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.6
No
32%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
68%
BTTS Yes
58%
+9.7pp
32%
BTTS No
42%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SfB-Oure EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.89/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.35
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
3W-1D-1L
AWAY SfB-Oure
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 SfB-Oure SfB-Oure 0-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
06.04.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-2 HT 0-2 SfB-Oure SfB-Oure DAN3
26.08.2022 SfB-Oure SfB-Oure 0-5 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
13.03.2021 Naesby Naesby 3-0 HT 3-0 SfB-Oure SfB-Oure DAN2
05.09.2020 SfB-Oure SfB-Oure 2-1 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs SfB-Oure
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby and SfB-Oure shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Naesby and 0.80 for SfB-Oure.

What was the final score of Naesby vs SfB-Oure?

Naesby 1-1 SfB-Oure in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs SfB-Oure?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naesby 42%, draw 28%, SfB-Oure 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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