FC Eindhoven 1-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.58
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
16%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.71
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.44
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.43/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.01
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.9 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Telstar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 0.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
03.03.2023 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.11.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
22.04.2022 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
10.12.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.02.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-1
AWAY Telstar
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven and Telstar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Eindhoven at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 44% of the ball to Telstar's 56%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.33 for Telstar.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Telstar?

FC Eindhoven 1-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 42%, draw 25%, Telstar 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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