NAC Breda 2-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.06
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.96
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
12%
4.21
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
11%
6.91
2/1
9%
19.1
2/2
11%
6.87
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.57/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.77
-3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.8 Crosses 11.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY PSV II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 Passes 401
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 PSV II PSV II 0-5 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
06.03.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
06.01.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-1 HT 2-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
25.02.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
22.11.2021 PSV II PSV II 0-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
18.01.2021 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
2-0
AWAY PSV II
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda saw off PSV II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NAC Breda as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NAC Breda had 45% of the ball to PSV II's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for NAC Breda and 0.67 for PSV II.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs PSV II?

NAC Breda 2-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 47%, draw 23%, PSV II 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NAC Breda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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