Budafoki MTE 1-0 Siofok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Siofok EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.20/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Siofok
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Siofok Siofok 3-1 HT 2-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
07.05.2023 Siofok Siofok 2-1 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
13.11.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 3-0 HT 2-0 Siofok Siofok MAC2
27.02.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-1 HT 0-0 Siofok Siofok MAC2
29.08.2021 Siofok Siofok 1-1 HT 0-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budafoki MTE
1-0
AWAY Siofok
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Siofok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE edged past Siofok 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Budafoki MTE as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Budafoki MTE had 44% of the ball to Siofok's 56%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Siofok led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Budafoki MTE and 1.40 for Siofok.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Siofok?

Budafoki MTE 1-0 Siofok in the Hungary - NB II on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Siofok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budafoki MTE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 42%, draw 28%, Siofok 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budafoki MTE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budafoki MTE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC2 More Hungary - NB II
28 Apr 2024
18:00 Szeged 2011 vs Soroksar Analysis →
18:00 Kazincbarcika vs Budapest Honved Analysis →
18:00 BVSC vs Csakvari TK Analysis →
18:00 Budapest Vasas vs Tiszakecske Analysis →
18:00 Pecsi MFC vs Szombathelyi Haladas Analysis →
18:00 Gyirmot vs Kozarmisleny Analysis →