Budapest Vasas 1-1 Tiszakecske — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
24%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiszakecske EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.51/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.69
+24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tiszakecske
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-2 HT 1-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
24.04.2022 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 4-0 HT 3-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
07.11.2021 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-0 HT 1-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
1-1
AWAY Tiszakecske
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Tiszakecske
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas and Tiszakecske shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Budapest Vasas at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 60% of the ball to Tiszakecske's 40%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Budapest Vasas and 0.67 for Tiszakecske.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Tiszakecske?

Budapest Vasas 1-1 Tiszakecske in the Hungary - NB II on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Tiszakecske?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 58%, draw 18%, Tiszakecske 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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