Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.46/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.41
-16% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Tacuary
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
24.11.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.09.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 3-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
31.05.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 3-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
27.03.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 2-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-2
AWAY Tacuary
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary edged past Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Luqueno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 60% of the ball to Tacuary's 40%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.20 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Tacuary?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 43%, draw 26%, Tacuary 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →